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Project 2025 › Chapter 26

Trade

Chapter 26 · pp. 765–824 · Peter Navarro, Kent Lassman

What this chapter is about

This chapter does not agree with itself. Two people wrote it and they want opposite things. One wants tariffs used to force other countries to lower theirs. The other says tariffs backfire and should be cut. The book prints both.

10 proposals indexed from this chapter.

The document says “shouldWho acts: Congress, PresidentHow: legislationIn: The Case for Fair Trade · Peter Navarrop. 770 in the PDF
What the document says

“President Trump urged Congress in his 2019 State of the Union address to pass the United States Reciprocal Trade Act (USRTA).”

Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise, p. 770

Under the proposed act the President could bring any trading partner applying higher non-reciprocal tariffs to the negotiating table and, if it refused to lower them to American levels, raise American tariffs to match. The essay records that its sponsor said the purpose was not to raise tariffs but to give the President a targeted tool to force other countries to lower theirs, and cites a poll finding 80 percent support.

What the document actually says

“President Trump urged Congress in his 2019 State of the Union address to pass the United States Reciprocal Trade Act (USRTA).”

Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise, p. 770
That sentence, in plain words

One bill would let the president match another country's tariffs. This essay wants it passed.

What this is about

Some countries charge more on American goods than America charges on theirs. This bill would let the president match their rate. The idea is to make them lower theirs.

What is disputed
What this means is contested

This chapter contains the opposing case. 'The Case for Free Trade', by Kent Lassman, argues the reverse: that tariffs have backfired, that trade policy is the wrong tool for industrial goals, and that the next Administration should ignore what it calls populist ideologues seeking protection. Neither essay is presented as the chapter's conclusion.

What has happened
Same subject, different route

Regulating Imports With a Reciprocal Tariff To Rectify Trade Practices That Contribute to Large and Persistent Annual United States Goods Trade Deficits

2025-04-02 · 90 FR 15041

Same subject, different instrument. The first essay asked Congress to pass the United States Reciprocal Trade Act, giving the President authority to mirror a partner's tariffs after negotiation. This order proceeds instead by declaring a national emergency under existing authority, without the statute the essay asked Congress to enact.

The document says “should considerWho acts: President, CongressHow: legislationIn: The Case for Fair Trade · Peter Navarrop. 789 in the PDF
What the document says

“The next American President should strongly consider adopting all of them as a package”

Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise, p. 789

The essay lists the measures: financial and tax incentives for companies onshoring production from China, ending the de minimis exemption for parcels under $800, barring Chinese state-owned enterprises from federal procurement, prohibiting Chinese-made drones in American airspace, banning Chinese social media applications including TikTok and WeChat, prohibiting Chinese investment in high-technology industries, and barring US pension funds from investing in Chinese companies.

What the document actually says

“The next American President should strongly consider adopting all of them as a package”

Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise, p. 789
That sentence, in plain words

The next president should think hard about doing all of these at once.

What this is about

This essay lists many steps to cut ties with China. They cover trade, money and apps. It says the next president should do them all together.

What is disputed
What this means is contested

This chapter contains the opposing case. 'The Case for Free Trade', by Kent Lassman, argues the reverse: that tariffs have backfired, that trade policy is the wrong tool for industrial goals, and that the next Administration should ignore what it calls populist ideologues seeking protection. Neither essay is presented as the chapter's conclusion.

What has happened
Partly matches

Suspending Duty-Free De Minimis Treatment for All Countries

2025-07-30 · 90 FR 37775

One item on the first essay's list was ending what it called China's abuse of the de minimis exemption for parcels under $800. This order suspends that treatment for all countries rather than for China specifically, and the essay's other listed measures are separate.

The document says “shouldWho acts: President, CongressHow: legislationIn: The Case for Fair Trade · Peter Navarrop. 789 in the PDF
What the document says

“Ban all Chinese social media apps such as TikTok and WeChat, which pose significant national security risks”

Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise, p. 789

The essay says these applications expose American consumers to data and identity theft. It appears in the list of measures the essay asks the next President to adopt as a package.

What the document actually says

“Ban all Chinese social media apps such as TikTok and WeChat, which pose significant national security risks”

Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise, p. 789
That sentence, in plain words

Ban Chinese social apps like TikTok and WeChat. They are a security risk.

What this is about

Some popular apps are owned by Chinese firms. This essay says they put data at risk. It says they should be banned.

What is disputed
What this means is contested

This chapter contains the opposing case. 'The Case for Free Trade', by Kent Lassman, argues the reverse: that tariffs have backfired, that trade policy is the wrong tool for industrial goals, and that the next Administration should ignore what it calls populist ideologues seeking protection. Neither essay is presented as the chapter's conclusion.

No action is recorded against this proposal. That is not evidence that none has been taken. See what the tracker does not yet cover.

The document says “shouldWho acts: PresidentHow: internal managementIn: The Case for Fair Trade · Peter Navarrop. 791 in the PDF
What the document says

“whoever is the next President in 2025 should heed this critical principle whenever the flag of free trade is waved to prevent the adoption of needed reforms.”

Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise, p. 791

The principle in question is that there can be no free trade without fair, reciprocal and balanced trade. The essay presents it as a guard against free trade arguments being used to block reform, and argues elsewhere that trade deficits matter to national security because a current account deficit must be offset by foreign investment in the United States.

What the document actually says

“whoever is the next President in 2025 should heed this critical principle whenever the flag of free trade is waved to prevent the adoption of needed reforms.”

Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise, p. 791
That sentence, in plain words

Some wave the free trade flag to block change. The next president should not fall for it.

What this is about

This essay says trade must be fair before it is free. It says people use the words free trade to stop changes. It warns the next president about that.

What is disputed
What this means is contested

This chapter contains the opposing case. 'The Case for Free Trade', by Kent Lassman, argues the reverse: that tariffs have backfired, that trade policy is the wrong tool for industrial goals, and that the next Administration should ignore what it calls populist ideologues seeking protection. Neither essay is presented as the chapter's conclusion.

No action is recorded against this proposal. That is not evidence that none has been taken. See what the tracker does not yet cover.

The document says “needs toWho acts: President, USTRHow: internal managementIn: The Case for Free Trade · Kent Lassmanp. 797 in the PDF
What the document says

“The next Administration needs to end the mission creep that has all but taken over trade policy in recent years.”

Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise, p. 797

The essay argues that trade policy has limited capabilities and is vulnerable to mission creep and regulatory capture, that progressive attempts to use it for climate and equity goals will fail because it is the wrong tool, and that conservatives should be equally skeptical of attempts on the right to use it to punish opponents or remake manufacturing. It adds that a cardinal rule is not to give yourself powers you would not want your opponents to have.

What the document actually says

“The next Administration needs to end the mission creep that has all but taken over trade policy in recent years.”

Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise, p. 797
That sentence, in plain words

Trade policy has been asked to do too much. The next team should stop that.

What this is about

Trade rules are being used for other goals. Some want them used for the climate. Others want them used to punish rivals. This essay says that does not work.

What is disputed
What this means is contested

This chapter contains the opposing case. 'The Case for Fair Trade', by Peter Navarro, argues the reverse: that trade deficits are a national security problem, that reciprocal tariffs should be used as leverage, and that economic security is national security. Neither essay is presented as the chapter's conclusion.

No action is recorded against this proposal. That is not evidence that none has been taken. See what the tracker does not yet cover.

The document says “shouldWho acts: USTRHow: internal managementIn: The Case for Free Trade · Kent Lassmanp. 797 in the PDF
What the document says

“A conservative trade policy should limit trade-unrelated provisions in trade agreements.”

Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise, p. 797

The essay says such provisions are routinely hijacked by progressives and rent-seekers, dilute otherwise worthwhile agreements and create extra points of contention. It adds that this does not mean ignoring international negotiations on labor, environment or intellectual property, but that those are more likely to succeed treated separately.

What the document actually says

“A conservative trade policy should limit trade-unrelated provisions in trade agreements.”

Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise, p. 797
That sentence, in plain words

Keep things that are not about trade out of trade deals.

What this is about

Trade deals often carry rules on other subjects. This essay says that makes them harder to pass. It wants deals kept to trade.

What is disputed
What this means is contested

This chapter contains the opposing case. 'The Case for Fair Trade', by Peter Navarro, argues the reverse: that trade deficits are a national security problem, that reciprocal tariffs should be used as leverage, and that economic security is national security. Neither essay is presented as the chapter's conclusion.

No action is recorded against this proposal. That is not evidence that none has been taken. See what the tracker does not yet cover.

The document says “shouldWho acts: Congress, PresidentHow: legislationp. 808 in the PDF
What the document says

“The U.S. should enact mutual recognition agreements for a wide variety goods with the United Kingdom, European Union, Japan, South Korea, Australia”

Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise, p. 808

Mutual recognition means accepting another country's approvals and standards as equivalent. The essay says the benefits would be especially large for pharmaceuticals because the drug approval process is slower and more expensive than in other countries without being any safer, and that conservatives should embrace policies that increase competition while reducing the regulatory footprint.

What the document actually says

“The U.S. should enact mutual recognition agreements for a wide variety goods with the United Kingdom, European Union, Japan, South Korea, Australia”

Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise, p. 808
That sentence, in plain words

Accept the safety checks of countries with standards like ours.

What this is about

A product approved in Japan must be checked again here. This essay says that is a waste. It says we should accept their checks.

No action is recorded against this proposal. That is not evidence that none has been taken. See what the tracker does not yet cover.

The document says “shouldWho acts: Congress, PresidentHow: legislationIn: The Case for Free Trade · Kent Lassmanp. 809 in the PDF
What the document says

“working with Congress to repeal the Jones Act.”

Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise, p. 809

The Jones Act requires ships travelling between American ports to be American-built, owned and crewed. The essay says shipbuilding could be the envy of the world in a free market but that the maritime lobby prefers what it calls a quiet, cozy existence on the dole while harming consumers and national security, and asks the Administration to grant exemptions unilaterally wherever allowed in the meantime.

What the document actually says

“working with Congress to repeal the Jones Act.”

Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise, p. 809
That sentence, in plain words

Work with Congress to repeal the Jones Act.

What this is about

A 1920 law says ships between American ports must be American built and crewed. That makes shipping cost more. This essay wants the law repealed.

No action is recorded against this proposal. That is not evidence that none has been taken. See what the tracker does not yet cover.

The document says “shouldWho acts: President, CongressHow: legislationIn: The Case for Free Trade · Kent Lassmanp. 803 in the PDF
What the document says

“The next President should ignore special interests and populist ideologues who want government to do the opposite through industrial policy, trade protectionism”

Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise, p. 803

The essay argues that where something has been tried repeatedly and has not worked it should be stopped, and that the proper reform is not only to remove the individual tariffs that backfired but to build institutional safeguards against future abuse. It says rolling back tariffs enacted since 2017 would have a positive effect, while cautioning against overselling trade liberalization as a cure for inflation, which it calls predominantly a monetary phenomenon.

What the document actually says

“The next President should ignore special interests and populist ideologues who want government to do the opposite through industrial policy, trade protectionism”

Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise, p. 803
That sentence, in plain words

The next president should not listen to those pushing tariffs.

What this is about

This essay says tariffs have not worked. It says they raise prices at home. It wants them removed and kept off.

What is disputed
What this means is contested

This chapter contains the opposing case. 'The Case for Fair Trade', by Peter Navarro, argues the reverse: that trade deficits are a national security problem, that reciprocal tariffs should be used as leverage, and that economic security is national security. Neither essay is presented as the chapter's conclusion.

What has happened
Runs the other way

Regulating Imports With a Reciprocal Tariff To Rectify Trade Practices That Contribute to Large and Persistent Annual United States Goods Trade Deficits

2025-04-02 · 90 FR 15041

The chapter's second essay argues the opposite of this action: that tariffs have backfired, that the reform is to remove those enacted since 2017 and build safeguards against future use, and that the next President should ignore those seeking protection. The chapter contains both positions and resolves neither.

The document says “shouldWho acts: CongressHow: legislationIn: The Case for Free Trade · Kent Lassmanp. 806 in the PDF
What the document says

“Trade-displaced workers should be eligible for the same benefits for which anyone else is eligible, no more and no less.”

Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise, p. 806

The essay says technological change displaces six times as many workers as trade does yet those workers get no special treatment, that funding for job training tends to find its way to union funds and left-leaning nonprofits, and that if such assistance must be expanded direct cash transfers are better because cash is the most flexible aid and treats people as adults.

What the document actually says

“Trade-displaced workers should be eligible for the same benefits for which anyone else is eligible, no more and no less.”

Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise, p. 806
That sentence, in plain words

A worker who loses a job to trade should get the same help as anyone else.

What this is about

Some workers get extra help if trade cost them their job. Others get nothing. This essay says everyone should be treated the same.

No action is recorded against this proposal. That is not evidence that none has been taken. See what the tracker does not yet cover.

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What is indexed here, and what is not

Proposals from both essays. Each records which essay it comes from and who wrote it, and each carries a note pointing at the opposing case.

The extensive economic argument and data each author marshals, and the detailed country-by-country tariff analysis in the first essay.

This is the longest chapter in the book and it contains two directly opposed positions on the same question. There is no single answer to what this chapter says about trade. Both sides are indexed, and neither is the chapter's conclusion.